Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota, clay - Final

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday


	Nicolas Mejia		Matias Soto

	1	2
			Watch
	1.40	2.70
	1.35	3.10	Watch
	1.43	3.06
	1.41	2.81	Watch
	1.41	2.95	Watch
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.37	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.32)	2.9 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
67.6%

Matias Soto
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Nicolas Mejia - Matias Soto Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mejia will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Soto will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mejia is ranked ATP: 165. Soto is ranked ATP: 296.

Now, both players are in good form.

Mejia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mejia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mejia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
11.07.26	Nicolas Mejia - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
10.07.26	Nicolas Mejia - Hernan Casanova	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Nicolas Mejia - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Nicolas Mejia - Fermin Tenti	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.26	Nicolas Mejia - Michael Zheng	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWL
- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
11.07.26	Matias Soto - Lorenzo Claverie	2:0 ✺
10.07.26	Lucas Andrade Da Silva - Matias Soto	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Alan Magadan - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Juan Sebastian Osorio - Matias Soto	1:2 ✺
01.07.26	Juan Sebastian Osorio - Matias Soto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.04.26	Matias Soto - Nicolas Mejia	2:1
31.03.24	Nicolas Mejia - Matias Soto	2:1

Nicolas Mejia - Matias Soto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide