Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hangzhou (China), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 October 2024, Thursday


	Zachary Svajda		Rinky Hijikata

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.73	1.99	Watch
	1.81	2.02
	1.73	2.04	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.73	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.68)	2.01 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zachary Svajda
53.6%

Rinky Hijikata
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zachary Svajda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Rinky Hijikata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rinky Hijikata than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Zachary Svajda - Rinky Hijikata Predictions

Users Predictions: Zachary Svajda will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Svajda is ranked ATP: 131. Hijikata is ranked ATP: 78.

Svajda is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Hijikata is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Svajda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Svajda won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zachary Svajda
ATP Challenger
09.10.24	Zachary Svajda - Tianhui Zhang	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Zachary Svajda	2:1 ✺
02.10.24	Adrian Mannarino - Zachary Svajda	1:2 ✺
01.10.24	Yan Bai - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
30.09.24	Tung-Lin Wu - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWWW
- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Challenger
09.10.24	Yan Bai - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
24.09.24	Mattia Bellucci - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
22.09.24	Brandon Nakashima - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.09.23	Rinky Hijikata - Zachary Svajda	1:2
16.09.21	Zachary Svajda - Rinky Hijikata	2:0

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