Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CARY 2 (USA), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 15 September 2023, Friday


	Zachary Svajda		Toby Samuel

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.35
	1.6	2.46
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.46	2.62	Watch
	1.54	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.38)	2.47 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zachary Svajda
61.7%

Toby Samuel
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zachary Svajda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Toby Samuel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zachary Svajda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toby Samuel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Zachary Svajda - Toby Samuel Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Svajda will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Samuel will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Svajda: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Svajda will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Svajda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zachary Svajda
ATP Challenger
13.09.23	Zachary Svajda - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
11.09.23	Zachary Svajda - Ethan Quinn	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Zachary Svajda - Francisco Cerundolo	1:3 ✺
26.08.23	Marc Polmans - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
25.08.23	Zachary Svajda - Vasek Pospisil	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWW
- Toby Samuel
ATP Challenger
13.09.23	Toby Samuel - Illya Marchenko	2:1 ✺
11.09.23	Brayden Schnur - Toby Samuel	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.08.23	Arthur Fery - Toby Samuel	2:0 ✺
19.08.23	Toby Samuel - Robin Bertrand	2:0 ✺
18.08.23	Millen Hurrion - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.06.23	Toby Samuel - Zachary Svajda	0:2

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