Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 3 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brisbane 3 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Zane Stevens		Kousuke Ogura

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Zane Stevens
51.2%

Kousuke Ogura
48.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zane Stevens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Kousuke Ogura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zane Stevens than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kousuke Ogura than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 Games - Stevens (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stevens (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Stevens is ranked ATP: 1443. Ogura is ranked ATP: 763.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Stevens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zane Stevens
ITF Tournaments
07.10.25	Colin Sinclair - Zane Stevens	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Enzo Aguiard - Zane Stevens	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Zane Stevens - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Colin Sinclair - Zane Stevens	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Zane Stevens - James Elia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWLW
- Kousuke Ogura
ATP Challenger
01.11.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Kousuke Ogura	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.10.25	Kousuke Ogura - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Kousuke Ogura - Stefan Vujic	2:1 ✺
22.10.25	Ajeet Rai - Kousuke Ogura	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Kousuke Ogura - Jera Staley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLW

Zane Stevens - Kousuke Ogura