Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 3 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Zane Stevens		Kousuke Ogura

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.84	1.86	Watch
	1.9	1.88
	1.69	2.04	Watch
	1.84	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.84)	1.91 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zane Stevens
51.2%

Kousuke Ogura
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zane Stevens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Kousuke Ogura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zane Stevens than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kousuke Ogura than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Zane Stevens - Kousuke Ogura Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 Games - Stevens (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stevens (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Stevens is ranked ATP: 1443. Ogura is ranked ATP: 763.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Stevens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zane Stevens
ITF Tournaments
07.10.25	Colin Sinclair - Zane Stevens	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Enzo Aguiard - Zane Stevens	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Zane Stevens - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Colin Sinclair - Zane Stevens	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Zane Stevens - James Elia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWLW
- Kousuke Ogura
ATP Challenger
01.11.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Kousuke Ogura	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.10.25	Kousuke Ogura - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Kousuke Ogura - Stefan Vujic	2:1 ✺
22.10.25	Ajeet Rai - Kousuke Ogura	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Kousuke Ogura - Jera Staley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLW

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