Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Luan 4, hard - Quarter-finalsDate: 1 October 2026, Thursday
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Ryuki Matsuda |
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Kousuke Ogura |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.45 |
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2.50 |
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 |
1.58 |
|
2.23 |
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 |
1.48 |
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2.44 |
 Watch |
 |
1.43 |
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2.56 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.39) |
|
2.43 ↓
(2.7) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 21.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ryuki Matsuda
62.1% | Kousuke Ogura
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ryuki Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Kousuke Ogura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryuki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kousuke Ogura than the current prediction. (-1.8%)Ryuki Matsuda - Kousuke Ogura Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Matsuda is ranked ATP: 686., and Ogura is ranked ATP: 817..Matsuda is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).Ogura has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins). Matsuda is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Matsuda has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Kousuke Ogura - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.99%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Challenger | | | 01.11.25 | Ryuki Matsuda - Kousuke Ogura | 2:1 | | ITF Tournaments | | | 04.09.24 | Kousuke Ogura - Ryuki Matsuda | 2:1 |
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