Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Zarina Diyas		Paula Badosa

	1	2
	17	1.02	Watch
	14	1.02	Watch
	12.43	1.03	Watch
	12	1.03
	14.3	1.02	Watch
	14	1.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.96 ↑ (8.41)	1.02 ↓ (1.05)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zarina Diyas
6.8%

Paula Badosa
93.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.1%

88.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zarina Diyas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Zarina Diyas - Paula Badosa Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Diyas will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Badosa will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diyas: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Diyas (7.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 17 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zarina Diyas will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Diyas (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Diyas is ranked WTA: 297. Badosa is ranked WTA: 25.

Badosa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Diyas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Badosa is the undeniable favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zarina Diyas
ITF Tournaments
20.11.25	Zarina Diyas - Himeno Sakatsume	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Sohyun Park - Zarina Diyas	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Priska Madelyn Nugroho - Zarina Diyas	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Rinko Matsuda - Zarina Diyas	Diyas Z. retired ✺
03.11.25	Mio Mushika - Zarina Diyas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWW?W
- Paula Badosa
WTA Adelaide
11.01.26	Paula Badosa - Marie Bouzkova	1:2 ✺
WTA Brisbane
07.01.26	Elena Rybakina - Paula Badosa	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Marie Bouzkova - Paula Badosa	1:2 ✺
Exhibition Women World Tennis League
18.12.25	Marta Kostyuk - Paula Badosa	0:1 ✺
17.12.25	Paula Badosa - Magda Linette	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWL

Zarina Diyas - Paula Badosa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide