Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MATSUYAMA (JAPAN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 6 November 2023, Monday


	Zhe Li		Dane Sweeny

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.92	1.8
	2	1.84
	2	1.85
	1.91	1.8
	1.88	1.85	Watch
	1.9	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.71)	1.82 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhe Li
48.4%

Dane Sweeny
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhe Li has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zhe Li's form might have worsened.

Dane Sweeny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dane Sweeny's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhe Li than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zhe Li, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dane Sweeny, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Li is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sweeny is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sweeny could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhe Li
ATP Challenger
05.11.23	Zhe Li - Tatsuma Ito	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Omni Kumar - Zhe Li	0:2 ✺
18.10.23	James Duckworth - Zhe Li	2:0 ✺
17.10.23	Zhe Li - Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul	2:0 ✺
16.10.23	Zhe Li - Jimmy Yang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWW
- Dane Sweeny
ATP Challenger
01.11.23	Ji Sung Nam - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
30.10.23	Dane Sweeny - James McCabe	Canceled ✺
23.10.23	Dane Sweeny - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.23	Dane Sweeny - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
04.10.23	Dane Sweeny - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 L?LLW

Zhe Li - Dane Sweeny: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide