Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday


	Dane Sweeny		Taro Daniel

	1	2
	2.20	1.67	Watch
	2.30	1.60
	2.30	1.62	Watch
	2.32	1.61	Watch
	2.35	1.61
	2.28	1.63	Watch
	2.21	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (3)	1.62 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dane Sweeny
41.6%

Taro Daniel
58.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dane Sweeny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dane Sweeny's performance.

Taro Daniel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Taro Daniel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dane Sweeny that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taro Daniel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Dane Sweeny - Taro Daniel Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sweeny will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Daniel will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sweeny: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Daniel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sweeny is ranked ATP: 110., and Daniel is ranked ATP: 193..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Daniel may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Daniel holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Sweeny has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 1.3:0.7 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dane Sweeny
ATP US Open
05.09.26	Luciano Darderi - Dane Sweeny	3:0 ✺
03.09.26	Dane Sweeny - Lorenzo Musetti	3:1 ✺
01.09.26	Dane Sweeny - Corentin Moutet	Moutet C. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Jesper De Jong - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.26	Christopher OConnell - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.8 LW?LL
- Taro Daniel
ATP Hangzhou
23.09.26	Taro Daniel - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Taro Daniel - Jake Delaney	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.26	Marat Sharipov - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Taro Daniel - Andrew Johnson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.02.26	Taro Daniel - Dane Sweeny	0:2
ATP Shanghai
04.10.23	Dane Sweeny - Taro Daniel	2:0
ATP Toronto
05.08.23	Dane Sweeny - Taro Daniel	0:2

Dane Sweeny - Taro Daniel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide