Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Zhizhen Zhang		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
	4.00	1.24
	3.8	1.25	Watch
	4.21	1.21	Watch
	4.35	1.23
	4.34	1.23	Watch
	3.85	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.15)	1.23 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhizhen Zhang
23%

Arthur Gea
77%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhizhen Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zhizhen Zhang's form might have worsened.

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Gea's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Zhizhen Zhang - Arthur Gea Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gea will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gea (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhang is ranked ATP: 165., and Gea is ranked ATP: 58..

Gea shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Zhang could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Gea for this game.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Hangzhou
24.09.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Rei Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
29.07.26	Jeffrey John Wolf - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
27.07.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Clement Chidekh	Canceled ✺
22.07.26	Charles Broom - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 L?L?L
- Arthur Gea
ATP Beijing
28.09.26	Tomas Machac - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
07.09.26	Arthur Gea - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	Michael Zheng - Arthur Gea	2:3 ✺
03.09.26	Zachary Svajda - Arthur Gea	1:3 ✺
01.09.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Arthur Gea	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWWW

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