Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 August 2026, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Zhizhen Zhang		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	1.91	1.8
	2.10	1.67
	2.01	1.77
	2.13	1.75
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.08	1.71
	2.06	1.71	Watch
	2	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.71)	1.73 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Zhizhen Zhang
45.8%

Rei Sakamoto
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhizhen Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zhizhen Zhang's form might have worsened.

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rei Sakamoto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zhizhen Zhang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rei Sakamoto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Zhizhen Zhang - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zhang will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Sakamoto will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Zhang is ranked ATP: 158. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 165.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sakamoto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zhang won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Zhizhen Zhang - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 54.64%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Challenger
29.07.26	Jeffrey John Wolf - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
27.07.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Clement Chidekh	Canceled ✺
22.07.26	Charles Broom - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Tyler Zink - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
13.07.26	Justin Boulais - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 L?LWL
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Rei Sakamoto - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Jurij Rodionov - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Daniel Milavsky - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Dhakshineswar Suresh - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Ugo Blanchet - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.02.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Rei Sakamoto	2:0

Upcoming Matches