Match Info

Date: 11 October 2022, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Zhizhen Zhang		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.52	2.55
	1.47	2.55
	1.47	2.87
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.44	2.79	Watch
	1.49	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.76)	2.65 ↑ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhizhen Zhang
64.1%

Francesco Passaro
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhizhen Zhang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zhizhen Zhang's performance.

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francesco Passaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zhizhen Zhang that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francesco Passaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Zhizhen Zhang - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: Zhizhen Zhang will win (32 of 36 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.62% – 99.16%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Passaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Zhang won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Florence
09.10.22	Zhizhen Zhang - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
08.10.22	Zhizhen Zhang - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
ATP Astana
05.10.22	Zhizhen Zhang - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
03.10.22	Zhizhen Zhang - Aslan Karatsev	2:1 ✺
02.10.22	Oleksandr Nedovyesov - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Florence
11.10.22	David Goffin - Francesco Passaro	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
04.10.22	Zdenek Kolar - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
28.09.22	Timofey Skatov - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
26.09.22	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
21.09.22	Francesco Passaro - Raul Brancaccio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 ?LLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.07.22	Francesco Passaro - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1
06.07.21	Francesco Passaro - Zhizhen Zhang	1:2

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