Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nottingham 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass


	Roman Safiullin		August Holmgren

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Roman Safiullin
66.7%

August Holmgren
33.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Safiullin is ranked ATP: 131. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 143.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Safiullin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Safiullin could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
15.06.26	Oliver Tarvet - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
09.06.26	Roman Safiullin - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Roman Safiullin - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Roman Safiullin - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Casper Ruud - Roman Safiullin	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWL
- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	August Holmgren - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	August Holmgren - Max Basing	2:0 ✺
12.06.26	Toby Samuel - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
08.06.26	August Holmgren - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
01.06.26	August Holmgren - James Watt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL

Roman Safiullin - August Holmgren