Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Kyoto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Zhuoxuan Bai		Claire Liu

	1	2
			Watch
	1.98	1.84
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.86	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.66)	1.82 ↓ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhuoxuan Bai
48.7%

Claire Liu
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhuoxuan Bai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zhuoxuan Bai's form might have worsened.

Claire Liu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Claire Liu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhuoxuan Bai than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Claire Liu than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Zhuoxuan Bai - Claire Liu Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bai is ranked WTA: 382. Liu is ranked WTA: 205.

Bai is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Liu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhuoxuan Bai
WTA Australian Open
20.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Zhuoxuan Bai	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Zhuoxuan Bai	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Zhuoxuan Bai - Darja Vidmanova	2:1 ✺
13.01.26	Chloe Paquet - Zhuoxuan Bai	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Zhuoxuan Bai - Alina Korneeva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 LWWWW
- Claire Liu
WTA Austin
24.02.26	Kaja Juvan - Claire Liu	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Joanna Garland - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Claire Liu - Himeno Sakatsume	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.02.26	Sakura Hosogi - Claire Liu	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.01.26	Claire Liu - Fiona Ferro	Ferro F. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.08.23	Zhuoxuan Bai - Claire Liu	2:1

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