Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	21:40	ESPN
Australia	11:40	Stan Sport
Belgium	01:40	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	01:40	HBO Max
Brazil	21:40	ESPN
Bulgaria	02:40	HBO Max
Canada	19:40	RDS App
Colombia	19:40	ESPN
Croatia	01:40	HBO Max
Czech Republic	01:40	HBO Max
Denmark	01:40	HBO Max
Finland	02:40	HBO Max
France	01:40	HBO Max
Hungary	01:40	HBO Max
Mexico	18:40	ESPN
Moldova	02:40	HBO Max
Montenegro	01:40	HBO Max
Netherlands	01:40	HBO Max
New Zealand	13:40	Sky Sport NOW
North Macedonia	01:40	HBO Max
Norway	01:40	HBO Max
Peru	19:40	ESPN
Poland	01:40	HBO Max
Romania	02:40	HBO Max
Serbia	01:40	HBO Max
Slovenia	01:40	HBO Max
Spain	01:40	HBO Max
Sweden	01:40	HBO Max
United Kingdom	00:40	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Usa	19:40	ESPN App, ESPN USA
Venezuela	20:40	ESPN


	Aryna Sabalenka		Zhuoxuan Bai

	1	2
	1.01	29	Watch
	1.01	18	Watch
	1.01	16.48	Watch
	1.01	21	Watch
	1.01	38	Watch
	1.01	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 (1.01)	23.25 ↑ (15.4)

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
95.8%

Zhuoxuan Bai
4.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

93.8%

6.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Zhuoxuan Bai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Aryna Sabalenka - Zhuoxuan Bai Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 1 - 50%). Bai (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Bai is ranked WTA: 702.

Sabalenka has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sabalenka is the obvious favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Australian Open
18.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	2:0 ✺
WTA Brisbane
11.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Marta Kostyuk	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Karolina Muchova	2:0 ✺
08.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Sorana Cirstea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW
- Zhuoxuan Bai
WTA Australian Open
18.01.26	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Zhuoxuan Bai	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Zhuoxuan Bai - Darja Vidmanova	2:1 ✺
13.01.26	Chloe Paquet - Zhuoxuan Bai	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Zhuoxuan Bai - Alina Korneeva	2:0 ✺
WTA Jiujiang
31.10.25	Zhuoxuan Bai - Dominika Salkova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WWWWL

Aryna Sabalenka - Zhuoxuan Bai

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka - Zhuoxuan Bai Predictions

Preview

Form

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