Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
New-zealand	Sky Sport NOW
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Aryna Sabalenka		Zhuoxuan Bai

	1	2
	1.01	29	Watch
	1.01	18	Watch
	1.01	16.48	Watch
	1.01	21	Watch
	1.01	38	Watch
	1.01	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 (1.01)	23.25 ↑ (15.4)

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
95.8%

Zhuoxuan Bai
4.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

93.8%

6.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Zhuoxuan Bai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Aryna Sabalenka - Zhuoxuan Bai Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 1 - 50%). Bai (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Bai is ranked WTA: 702.

Sabalenka has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sabalenka is the obvious favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Australian Open
18.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	2:0 ✺
WTA Brisbane
11.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Marta Kostyuk	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Karolina Muchova	2:0 ✺
08.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Sorana Cirstea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW
- Zhuoxuan Bai
WTA Australian Open
18.01.26	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Zhuoxuan Bai	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Zhuoxuan Bai - Darja Vidmanova	2:1 ✺
13.01.26	Chloe Paquet - Zhuoxuan Bai	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Zhuoxuan Bai - Alina Korneeva	2:0 ✺
WTA Jiujiang
31.10.25	Zhuoxuan Bai - Dominika Salkova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WWWWL

Aryna Sabalenka - Zhuoxuan Bai: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide