Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Litija, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Ziga Sesko		Giuseppe La Vela

	1	2
	1.64	2.29
	1.56	2.23	Watch
	1.61	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.71)	2.23 ↑ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ziga Sesko
58.2%

Giuseppe La Vela
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ziga Sesko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Giuseppe La Vela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ziga Sesko than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ziga Sesko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giuseppe La Vela than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giuseppe La Vela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ziga Sesko - Giuseppe La Vela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sesko is ranked ATP: 1004. La Vela is ranked ATP: 517.

Sesko is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, La Vela has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

La Vela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Giuseppe La Vela - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 46.47%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ziga Sesko
ITF Tournaments
22.05.26	Andrea Fiorentini - Ziga Sesko	0:2 ✺
21.05.26	Ziga Sesko - Theo Papamalamis	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Jan Kupcic - Ziga Sesko	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Ziga Sesko - Iliyan Radulov	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Ziga Sesko - Maik Steiner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWLW
- Giuseppe La Vela
ITF Tournaments
22.05.26	Jeremy Gschwendtner - Giuseppe La Vela	1:2 ✺
21.05.26	Nicolas Parizzia - Giuseppe La Vela	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Giuseppe La Vela - Federico Bondioli	1:2 ✺
11.05.26	Gabriele Bosio - Giuseppe La Vela	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Giuseppe La Vela - Max Hans Rehberg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLWL

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