Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sabadell, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday


	Ziga Sesko		Maik Steiner

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.57	2.43
	1.5	2.37	Watch
	1.5	2.38
	1.54	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.86)	2.38 ↑ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ziga Sesko
60.9%

Maik Steiner
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ziga Sesko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ziga Sesko's performance.

Maik Steiner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maik Steiner might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ziga Sesko than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ziga Sesko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maik Steiner than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maik Steiner could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ziga Sesko - Maik Steiner Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sesko is ranked ATP: 1001. Steiner is ranked ATP: 688.

Sesko has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Steiner is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sesko might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Maik Steiner - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.68%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ziga Sesko
ITF Tournaments
29.04.26	Ziga Sesko - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Ziga Sesko - Gabriel Ghetu	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Ziga Sesko - Miles Jones	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Robin Bertrand - Ziga Sesko	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Ryan Colby - Ziga Sesko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Maik Steiner
ITF Tournaments
29.04.26	Dax Donders - Maik Steiner	2:0 ✺
08.04.26	Alex Jones - Maik Steiner	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Michel Hopp - Maik Steiner	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Maik Steiner - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Maik Steiner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLLW

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