Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Winston-Salem (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 August 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Torella D. (Ita)


	Zizou Bergs		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.33	1.59
	2.59	1.56
	2.54	1.54	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.45	1.56	Watch
	2.33	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.74)	1.57 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zizou Bergs
39.3%

Alex Michelsen
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zizou Bergs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zizou Bergs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Michelsen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Zizou Bergs - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Bergs will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Michelsen will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Michelsen: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bergs is ranked ATP: 85. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 52.

Recent matches Bergs is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Michelsen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Michelsen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Michelsen will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Michelsen to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bergs won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zizou Bergs
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
18.08.24	Zizou Bergs - Reilly Opelka	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.24	Alex Michelsen - Zizou Bergs	2:1 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Zizou Bergs - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
15.07.24	Laslo Djere - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLL
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.24	Marton Fucsovics - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.24	Jannik Sinner - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
13.08.24	Alex Michelsen - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
12.08.24	Alex Michelsen - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
11.08.24	Alex Michelsen - Zizou Bergs	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
11.08.24	Alex Michelsen - Zizou Bergs	2:1

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