Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday


	Alex Michelsen		Zizou Bergs

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.94	1.87
	1.69	2.11	Watch
			Watch
	1.96	1.88	Watch
	1.95	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.69)	1.89 ↓ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
49.8%

Zizou Bergs
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Michelsen's form might have worsened.

Zizou Bergs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zizou Bergs's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Michelsen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zizou Bergs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.6%	0%	52.4%

Alex Michelsen - Zizou Bergs Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). Bergs will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bergs: 31% – 73.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Michelsen (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Bergs (votes: 8 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 34. Bergs is ranked ATP: 40.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Michelsen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Michelsen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Michelsen - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 55.53%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Vienna
21.10.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
ATP Almaty
18.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
16.10.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWW
- Zizou Bergs
ATP Brussels
14.10.25	Zizou Bergs - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
09.10.25	Zizou Bergs - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Gabriel Diallo - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Zizou Bergs - Casper Ruud	Ruud C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.24	Zizou Bergs - Alex Michelsen	0:2
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.24	Alex Michelsen - Zizou Bergs	2:1

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