Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday


	Zizou Bergs		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.98	1.84	Watch
	1.98	1.9
	1.97	1.82	Watch
	1.95	1.85	Watch
	1.93	1.87	Watch
	1.98	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.02)	1.86 ↑ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zizou Bergs
48.8%

Alexei Popyrin
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zizou Bergs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Zizou Bergs - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Bergs will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Popyrin will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bergs: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bergs is ranked ATP: 53. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 27.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Bergs could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bergs won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zizou Bergs
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Zizou Bergs - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
26.02.25	Luca Nardi - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Aziz Dougaz - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
19.02.25	Zizou Bergs - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Zizou Bergs - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWLW
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Dubai
26.02.25	Alexei Popyrin - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
24.02.25	Alexei Popyrin - Hady Habib	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.25	Alexei Popyrin - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
04.02.25	Jiri Lehecka - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Alexei Popyrin - Corentin Moutet	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.06.22	Zizou Bergs - Alexei Popyrin	2:0

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