Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: CHENGDU (CHINA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 21 September 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Zizou Bergs		Dusan Lajovic

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.75	Watch
	2.02	1.73
	2.11	1.79
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.06	1.76	Watch
	2.04	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.22)	1.78 ↑ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zizou Bergs
46.5%

Dusan Lajovic
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zizou Bergs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Dusan Lajovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zizou Bergs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dusan Lajovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Zizou Bergs - Dusan Lajovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Bergs will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Lajovic will win (votes: 9 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bergs: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zizou Bergs
ATP Challenger
14.09.23	Zizou Bergs - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
12.09.23	Liam Broady - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
23.08.23	Zizou Bergs - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.07.23	Jurij Rodionov - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
27.07.23	Zizou Bergs - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLW
- Dusan Lajovic
Davis Cup World Group
16.09.23	Dusan Lajovic - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
12.09.23	Dusan Lajovic - Seong Chan Hong	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.23	Yibing Wu - Dusan Lajovic	3:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.23	Dusan Lajovic - Taylor Harry Fritz	Lajovic D. retired ✺
16.08.23	Jannik Sinner - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LWL?W

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