Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: RENNES (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 14 September 2023, Thursday


	Zizou Bergs		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	1.95	1.82
	2.02	1.83
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.23	1.6	Watch
	2.03	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.84)	1.72 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zizou Bergs
45.4%

Mattia Bellucci
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zizou Bergs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Zizou Bergs - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Bergs will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Bellucci will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bellucci: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Bergs is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bellucci in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Bellucci could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Bellucci to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zizou Bergs
ATP Challenger
12.09.23	Liam Broady - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
23.08.23	Zizou Bergs - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.07.23	Jurij Rodionov - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
27.07.23	Zizou Bergs - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
25.07.23	Maximilian Neuchrist - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWW
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
13.09.23	Maximilian Neuchrist - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
10.09.23	Tomas Machac - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
09.09.23	Mattia Bellucci - Liam Broady	2:0 ✺
08.09.23	Mattia Bellucci - Lucas Poullain	2:1 ✺
07.09.23	Mattia Bellucci - Maximilian Neuchrist	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWW

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