Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hertogenbosch, grass - Final

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1


	Zizou Bergs		Gabriel Diallo

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.59	Watch
			Watch
	2.63	1.55
			Watch
			Watch
	2.54	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (1.61)	1.55 ↓ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zizou Bergs
38.1%

Gabriel Diallo
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zizou Bergs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zizou Bergs's form might have worsened.

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gabriel Diallo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (+18.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zizou Bergs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-18.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gabriel Diallo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.2%	0%	82.8%

Zizou Bergs - Gabriel Diallo Predictions

Users Predictions: Gabriel Diallo will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gabriel Diallo will win (13 of 17 users predict this - 76.47%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bergs is ranked ATP: 63. Diallo is ranked ATP: 55.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Diallo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Diallo might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Diallo will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bergs won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zizou Bergs
ATP Hertogenbosch
14.06.25	Reilly Opelka - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
13.06.25	Zizou Bergs - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
12.06.25	Alexei Popyrin - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
10.06.25	Zizou Bergs - Alexander Blockx	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Zizou Bergs	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWL
- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Hertogenbosch
14.06.25	Gabriel Diallo - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
13.06.25	Gabriel Diallo - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Jordan Thompson - Gabriel Diallo	1:2 ✺
09.06.25	Gabriel Diallo - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Gabriel Diallo - Tallon Griekspoor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
24.04.25	Zizou Bergs - Gabriel Diallo	0:2
ATP Challenger
15.08.22	Gabriel Diallo - Zizou Bergs	2:1

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