Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sumter, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 August 2025, Thursday


	Zizou Bergs		Mark Lajal

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.64	2.31
	1.62	2.24	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.62	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 (1.62)	2.21 ↑ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zizou Bergs
57.7%

Mark Lajal
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zizou Bergs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Mark Lajal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zizou Bergs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mark Lajal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zizou Bergs - Mark Lajal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bergs (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Bergs (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bergs (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bergs is ranked ATP: 54. Lajal is ranked ATP: 150.

Bergs has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lajal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bergs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bergs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Zizou Bergs - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.03%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zizou Bergs
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Zizou Bergs - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Zizou Bergs - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
27.07.25	Emilio Nava - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
21.07.25	Daniel Evans - Zizou Bergs	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Zizou Bergs - Lloyd Harris	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
13.08.25	Mark Lajal - Strong Kirchheimer	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Mark Lajal - Jaime Faria	Canceled ✺
ATP Cincinnati
06.08.25	Arthur Cazaux - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Lloyd Harris - Mark Lajal	Lajal M. retired ✺
27.07.25	Mark Lajal - Andres Martin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 W?L?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hertogenbosch
13.06.25	Zizou Bergs - Mark Lajal	2:0

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