Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hertogenbosch, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 June 2025, Wednesday


	Jordan Thompson		Gabriel Diallo

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.35	Watch
	1.55	2.41	Watch
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.63	2.3	Watch
	1.55	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.54)	2.41 ↑ (2.31)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jordan Thompson
60.8%

Gabriel Diallo
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jordan Thompson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Gabriel Diallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jordan Thompson than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Jordan Thompson - Gabriel Diallo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Jordan Thompson will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Diallo will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jordan Thompson: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3 Games - Diallo (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jordan Thompson will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Jordan Thompson (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Diallo (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jordan Thompson is ranked ATP: 37. Diallo is ranked ATP: 55.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Diallo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Jordan Thompson is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Jordan Thompson won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Gabriel Diallo - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.05%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jordan Thompson Tennis
ATP Hertogenbosch
09.06.25	Jordan Thompson - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.25	Jiri Lehecka - Jordan Thompson	3:0 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.25	Jordan Thompson - Brandon Nakashima	Nakashima B. walkover ✺
07.05.25	Jordan Thompson - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Jordan Thompson	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WL?W?
- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Hertogenbosch
09.06.25	Gabriel Diallo - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Gabriel Diallo - Tallon Griekspoor	1:3 ✺
26.05.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Gabriel Diallo	0:3 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Gabriel Diallo - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
01.05.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.05.23	Jordan Thompson - Gabriel Diallo	0:2
23.09.22	Jordan Thompson - Gabriel Diallo	2:0

Jordan Thompson - Gabriel Diallo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide