Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SURBITON (UNITED KINGDOM), GRASS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 7 June 2023, Wednesday


	Zizou Bergs		Luke Saville

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.44	2.6
	1.4	2.88
	1.45	2.81
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.43	2.67	Watch
	1.42	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.52)	2.71 ↑ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zizou Bergs
65.4%

Luke Saville
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zizou Bergs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zizou Bergs's performance.

Luke Saville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luke Saville might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zizou Bergs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luke Saville than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luke Saville could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Zizou Bergs - Luke Saville Predictions

Users Predictions: Zizou Bergs will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Bergs is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Saville is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bergs could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bergs is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zizou Bergs
ATP Challenger
06.06.23	Mark Whitehouse - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
05.06.23	Max Purcell - Zizou Bergs	Canceled ✺
30.05.23	Jan Choinski - Zizou Bergs	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.23	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
22.05.23	Steve Johnson - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 W??LW
- Luke Saville
ATP Challenger
06.06.23	Alexei Popyrin - Luke Saville	1:2 ✺
05.06.23	Jay Clarke - Luke Saville	0:2 ✺
04.06.23	Luke Saville - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
09.05.23	Luke Saville - Brandon Holt	0:2 ✺
08.05.23	Richard Berankis - Luke Saville	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWLW

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