Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Auckland (New Zealand) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 January 2025, Friday


	Zizou Bergs		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.78
	1.95	1.76
	2.05	1.81	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.97	1.76	Watch
	1.95	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.64)	1.78 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zizou Bergs
47.8%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zizou Bergs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zizou Bergs's form might have worsened.

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pablo Carreno-Busta's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	0%	46.2%

Zizou Bergs - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Bergs will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bergs: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bergs is ranked ATP: 71. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 196.

Recent matches Bergs is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bergs could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zizou Bergs
ATP Hong Kong
01.01.25	Zizou Bergs - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
30.12.24	Zizou Bergs - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
ATP Metz
07.11.24	Cameron Norrie - Zizou Bergs	2:1 ✺
06.11.24	Zizou Bergs - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
05.11.24	Manuel Guinard - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLWW
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP United Cup
28.12.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.11.24	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
19.11.24	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
29.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLW?

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