Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montemar (Spain), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 November 2024, Wednesday


	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	4.33	1.2	Watch
	3.6	1.25
	3.85	1.22	Watch
	3.68	1.29
	3.51	1.28	Watch
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.47	1.28	Watch
	3.85	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (3.15)	1.25 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
25%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
75%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

70.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pablo Carreno-Busta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 663. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 199.

Budkov Kjaer is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Carreno Busta is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Carreno Busta is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Challenger
19.11.24	Francesco Passaro - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.11.24	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:1 ✺
31.10.24	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Cezar Cretu	2:0 ✺
30.10.24	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Vladyslav Orlov	2:1 ✺
23.10.24	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	Budkov Kjaer N. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWW?
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Challenger
19.11.24	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
29.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Canceled ✺
ATP Vienna
19.10.24	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.24	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
27.09.24	Andrey Rublev - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 W?LLL

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