Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LUGANO (SWITZERLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 4 March 2024, Monday


	Zizou Bergs		Stefano Travaglia

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.4	2.7	Watch
	1.38	2.9
	1.4	3.04
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.34	3.12	Watch
	1.39	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 (1.38)	2.93 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zizou Bergs
68%

Stefano Travaglia
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zizou Bergs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Zizou Bergs - Stefano Travaglia Predictions

Users Predictions: Zizou Bergs will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Travaglia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bergs is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bergs won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zizou Bergs
ATP Challenger
27.02.24	Joris De Loore - Zizou Bergs	2:1 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
13.02.24	Zizou Bergs - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Zizou Bergs - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
10.02.24	Jurij Rodionov - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
04.02.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWWW
- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
27.02.24	Stefano Travaglia - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Stefano Travaglia - Matteo Gigante	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	Jules Marie - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
23.02.24	Jozef Kovalik - Stefano Travaglia	Kovalik J. retired ✺
21.02.24	Stefano Travaglia - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.11.18	Stefano Travaglia - Zizou Bergs	2:0

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