Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 August 2025, Thursday


	Stefano Travaglia		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.92	1.44
	2.84	1.39	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.49)	1.42 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
33.9%

Lukas Neumayer
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Stefano Travaglia - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Travaglia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Neumayer will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Travaglia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Travaglia is ranked ATP: 233. Neumayer is ranked ATP: 170.

Recent performances by Travaglia have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Neumayer is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Travaglia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Neumayer could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Neumayer will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Travaglia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
13.08.25	Stefano Travaglia - Jacopo Vasami	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Stefano Travaglia - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
05.08.25	Oleg Prihodko - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Alex Molcan - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLLW
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
13.08.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Andrea Guerrieri - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
10.08.25	Lukas Neumayer - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Carlos Taberner - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Lukas Neumayer - Nicolas Kicker	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Lukas Neumayer - Stefano Travaglia	2:0
27.02.24	Stefano Travaglia - Lukas Neumayer	0:2

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