Match Info

Nations League

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday

Location: Chiba Port Arena (Chiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Serbia	SportKlub 3
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	Argentina		USA

	1	2
	1.91	1.8
	1.95	1.8
	1.9	1.75
	1.97	1.84
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.96	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.27)	1.83 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 184.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentina
48.7%

USA
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentina's performance.

USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and USA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentina than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USA than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that USA could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Argentina - USA Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Argentina will win (votes: 3 - 75%). USA will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentina (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups


11. Armoa M.	3. Briggs M.
2. Conde L.	25. Champlin E.
9. Danani S.	5. Ensing K.
4. Gallego J.	29. Ewert J.
77. Giraudo M.	23. Flexen N.
16. Kuka	9. Garcia G.
12. Lima B.	15. Hobus K.
8. Loser A. (C)	4. Jendryk II J.
29. Luengas I.	26. Knigge M.
7. Palonsky L.	14. Ma'a M. (C)
23. Salazar I.	24. McHenry M.
1. Sanchez M.	18. Robinson C.
17. Vicentin L.	17. Rowan A.
22. Zerba N.	22. Shoji E.

Preview

Neutral location.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentina won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

USA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Argentina won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 41:35. (average 2.2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentina volleyball
Nations League Volleyball
17.07.25	Argentina - Japan	2:3 ✺
15.07.25	Argentina - Brazil	1:3 ✺
Copa America Volleyball
29.06.25	Brazil - Argentina	3:0 ✺
Nations League Volleyball
29.06.25	Cuba - Argentina	2:3 ✺
28.06.25	Serbia - Argentina	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWW
- USA volleyball
Nations League Volleyball
16.07.25	Turkey - USA	0:3 ✺
29.06.25	USA - Italy	0:3 ✺
28.06.25	USA - Poland	0:3 ✺
26.06.25	Canada - USA	0:3 ✺
25.06.25	China - USA	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Olympic Games - Volleyball
27.07.24	USA - Argentina	3:0
Nations League Volleyball
04.06.24	Argentina - USA	0:3
07.07.23	USA - Argentina	2:3
09.07.22	USA - Argentina	3:2
Olympic Games - Volleyball
01.08.21	USA - Argentina	0:3
Nations League Volleyball
30.05.21	USA - Argentina	3:1
FIVB World Cup
30.09.19	USA - Argentina	2:3

Argentina - USA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide