Match Info

Nations League

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday

Location: Chiba Port Arena (Chiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Serbia	SportKlub 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Ukraine	Suspilne Sport


	Brazil		Japan

	1	2
	1.33	3.25
	1.45	2.6
	1.38	2.65
	1.34	3.28
	2.40	1.50	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.39	3.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.59)	2.75 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brazil
64.3%

Japan
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brazil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Japan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brazil than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Japan than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	0%	5.3%

Brazil - Japan Predictions

Users Predictions: Brazil will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brazil will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups


6. Adriano	21. Eiro M.
1. Alan Souza	23. Evbade-Dan L. I.
19. Buczmiejuk A.	15. Kai M.
28. Darlan Souza	4. Miyaura K.
14. Fernando Kreling	17. Nishimoto K.
23. Flavio Gualberto	18. Nishiyama H.
5. Goncalves M.	13. Ogawa T.
8. Henrique Honorato	9. Oya M.
11. Judson Junior	32. Sato S.
20. Lukas Bergmann	12. Takahashi R. (C)
15. Nascimento M.	11. Tomita S.
25. Neves Atu C.	20. Yamamoto T.
18. Ricardo Lucarelli (C)	6. Yamauchi A.
7. Santos M.	26. Yamazaki A.

Preview

Played on the field of the visiting team.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brazil won 4.

Brazil has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Japan is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Brazil may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Brazil is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Brazil will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Brazil won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:4. (average 2.9:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brazil volleyball
Nations League Volleyball
15.07.25	Argentina - Brazil	1:3 ✺
Friendly International Volleyball
13.07.25	Brazil - Japan	N/A ✺
Nations League Volleyball
29.06.25	Brazil - Poland	3:1 ✺
Copa America Volleyball
29.06.25	Brazil - Argentina	3:0 ✺
Nations League Volleyball
28.06.25	Brazil - Italy	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 W?WWW
- Japan volleyball
Nations League Volleyball
17.07.25	Argentina - Japan	2:3 ✺
16.07.25	Germany - Japan	1:3 ✺
Friendly International Volleyball
13.07.25	Brazil - Japan	N/A ✺
Nations League Volleyball
29.06.25	Slovenia - Japan	0:3 ✺
27.06.25	Ukraine - Japan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WW?WL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Volleyball
13.07.25	Brazil - Japan	N/A
Nations League Volleyball
22.06.23	Japan - Brazil	3:2
World Championship Volleyball
28.08.22	Brazil - Japan	3:0
Nations League Volleyball
10.07.22	Brazil - Japan	3:0
Olympic Games - Volleyball
03.08.21	Japan - Brazil	0:3
Nations League Volleyball
04.06.21	Brazil - Japan	3:0
FIVB World Cup
14.10.19	Japan - Brazil	1:3

Brazil - Japan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide