Match Info

Campeonato Nacional - Round 21

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+


	Castêlo da Maia		Benfica

	1	2
	9	1.03
			Watch
	7.43	1.04
	8	1.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.14 ↑ (8)	1.03 (1.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 140.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Castêlo da Maia
11.3%

Benfica
88.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.4%

88.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castêlo da Maia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Castêlo da Maia - Benfica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castêlo da Maia won 0.

Castêlo da Maia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Benfica is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Castêlo da Maia has had a series of away games.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Castêlo da Maia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 20 matches, and goals 7:60. (average 0.4:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Castêlo da Maia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 6:33. (average 0.5:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Benfica - the odds 1.03 are the expected chance of winning is 88.59%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castêlo da Maia GC
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
21.02.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Castêlo da Maia	3:1 ✺
13.02.26	Leixões - Castêlo da Maia	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Académica de Espinho - Castêlo da Maia	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	SC Espinho - Castêlo da Maia	3:2 ✺
27.01.26	Mamede - Castêlo da Maia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLLLW
- Benfica Volleyball
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
21.02.26	Benfica - Santo Tirso	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Cup Volleyball
15.02.26	Benfica - Clube K	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
14.02.26	Madalena - Benfica	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Benfica - Leixões	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Cup Volleyball
11.01.26	Castêlo da Maia - Benfica	1:3
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
13.12.25	Benfica - Castêlo da Maia	3:0
11.01.25	Castêlo da Maia - Benfica	1:3
26.10.24	Benfica - Castêlo da Maia	3:0
02.03.24	Castêlo da Maia - Benfica	0:3
20.01.24	Benfica - Castêlo da Maia	3:0
02.12.23	Castêlo da Maia - Benfica	2:3

Castêlo da Maia - Benfica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide