Match Info

WORLD: Nations League Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 June 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Slovakia	RTVS Sport


	China W		Japan W

	1	2
	4.5	1.17	Watch
	4	1.22
	4.2	1.17	Watch
	4.46	1.15
	4.33	1.2
	5.37	1.14	Watch
	4.5	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↑ (1.56)	1.18 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

China W
20.8%

Japan W
79.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

China W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-38.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that China W's form might have worsened.

Japan W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+38.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Japan W's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for China W than the current prediction. (+41.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for China W, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Japan W than the current prediction. (-41.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Japan W, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.1%	0%	83.9%

China W - Japan W Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. China will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). Japan will win (votes: 26 - 83.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Japan: 71% – 96.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups


16. Ding Xia	20. Araki A.
5. Gao Yi	12. Fukudome S.
17. Ni Feifan	2. Hayashi K.
23. Wang Wenhan	10. Inoue A.
19. Wang Yifan	4. Ishikawa M.
10. Wang Yunlu	1. Iwasaki K.
8. Xu Xiaoting	8. Kojima M.
4. Yang Hanyu	16. Kurogo A.
9. Zhang Changning (C)	15. Miyabe A.
14. Zheng Yixin	3. Nishida S. (C)
11. Zhong Hui	6. Seki N.
22. Zhuang Yushan	21. Wada Y.
	7. Watanabe A.
	11. Yamada N.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches China won 4.

China is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Japan is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Japan is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches China won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 43-29.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- China W volleyball
Nations League Volleyball Women
16.06.24	China W - Poland W	3:0 ✺
15.06.24	China W - Turkey W	3:2 ✺
14.06.24	China W - Germany W	3:0 ✺
11.06.24	Bulgaria W - China W	0:3 ✺
02.06.24	Italy W - China W	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL
- Japan W volleyball
Nations League Volleyball Women
16.06.24	Japan W - USA W	0:3 ✺
15.06.24	Japan W - Serbia W	3:0 ✺
13.06.24	Japan W - Canada W	2:3 ✺
12.06.24	South Korea W - Japan W	0:3 ✺
01.06.24	Dominican Republic W - Japan W	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Nations League Volleyball Women
31.05.24	Japan W - China W	3:1
Asian Games Volleyball Women
07.10.23	Japan W - China W	0:3
Asian Championship Volleyball Women
04.09.23	Japan W - China W	2:3
Nations League Volleyball Women
04.06.23	Japan W - China W	0:3
World Championship Volleyball Women
28.09.22	China W - Japan W	3:0
Asian Cup Volleyball Women
29.08.22	China W - Japan W	1:3
Nations League Volleyball Women
19.06.22	Japan W - China W	3:1

China W - Japan W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide