The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Esteghlal Gonbad 28%
Mehregan Noor 72%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.5%
61.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
58.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Esteghlal Gonbad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Esteghlal Gonbad's form might have worsened.
Mehregan Noor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mehregan Noor's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal Gonbad than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Esteghlal Gonbad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mehregan Noor than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mehregan Noor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
Esteghlal Gonbad has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Mehregan Noor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Mehregan Noor is seen as the favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Esteghlal Gonbad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.