The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estudiantes de La Plata 63.6%
Ferro Carril Oeste 36.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.3%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
44.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de La Plata than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes de La Plata that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferro Carril Oeste could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Estudiantes de La Plata - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Preview
3rd leg. Series tied 1-1.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Estudiantes LP won 4.
Recent matches Estudiantes LP is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ferro Carril Oeste is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Estudiantes LP could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Estudiantes LP will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Estudiantes LP won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:5 (average 2.7:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Estudiantes LP won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 2.3:1.3).