Match Info

European Championships - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	JOJ Play
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Turkey	TRT Spor Yildiz
Ukraine	Suspilne Sport


	Finland		Slovenia

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.45	1.27
	3.32	1.34
	3.2	1.33
	3.25	1.31
	3.55	1.30	Watch
	3.30	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.93)	1.3 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 180.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Finland
27.7%

Slovenia
72.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Slovenia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Finland than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Finland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovenia than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Slovenia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Finland - Slovenia Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Slovenia will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups


19. Breilin N.	8. Bracko R.
11. Haapaniemi M.	18. Cebulj K.
13. Jokela J.	13. Kovacic J.
8. Koykka V.	4. Kozamernik J.
21. Lindqvist V.	22. Krzic J.
10. Marttila L.	7. Marovt L.
24. Marttila N.	19. Mozic R.
1. Ronkainen A.	20. Mujanovic N.
17. Savonsalmi S.	24. Najdic N.
7. Suihkonen N.	12. Okroglic G.
2. Tervaportti E.	2. Pajenk A.
6. Tyynismaa P.	3. Planinsic U.
9. Valimaa S.	25. Sen K.
5. Zhbankov A.	10. Stalekar S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Finland won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Slovenia carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Finland has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:16 (averaging 1:2.7 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finland volleyball
European Championships Volleyball
25.09.26	Finland - France	1:3 ✺
23.09.26	Italy - Finland	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Finland - Greece	3:2 ✺
17.09.26	Finland - Estonia	2:3 ✺
15.09.26	Netherlands - Finland	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWWLW
- Slovenia volleyball
European Championships Volleyball
25.09.26	Slovenia - Poland	0:3 ✺
23.09.26	Belgium - Slovenia	1:3 ✺
21.09.26	Slovenia - Serbia	3:0 ✺
17.09.26	Italy - Slovenia	3:2 ✺
16.09.26	Czech Republic - Slovenia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Olympic Games - Volleyball
02.10.23	Slovenia - Finland	3:1
European Championships Volleyball
01.09.23	Finland - Slovenia	0:3
14.09.19	Slovenia - Finland	3:1
FIVB World League
17.06.17	Finland - Slovenia	0:3
02.06.17	Finland - Slovenia	1:3
European Championships Volleyball
21.09.13	Slovenia - Finland	1:3

Finland - Slovenia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide