Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato Nacional - Round 15

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Fonte do Bastardo		Gondomar

	1	2
	2.3	1.53
	2.35	1.48	Watch
	2.52	1.48
	2.5	1.5
	2.51	1.44	Watch
	2.35	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.85)	1.49 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fonte do Bastardo
38%

Gondomar
62%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

69.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fonte do Bastardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fonte do Bastardo's performance.

Gondomar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gondomar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fonte do Bastardo than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fonte do Bastardo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gondomar than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gondomar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fonte do Bastardo - Gondomar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Fonte do Bastardo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gondomar is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Gondomar is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fonte do Bastardo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:3 (average 2.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fonte do Bastardo Azores
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
04.01.25	Viana - Fonte do Bastardo	3:0 ✺
21.12.24	Fonte do Bastardo - SC Espinho	2:3 ✺
14.12.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Fonte do Bastardo	3:1 ✺
07.12.24	Leixões - Fonte do Bastardo	3:1 ✺
30.11.24	Fonte do Bastardo - Sporting Lisbon	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- ALA Gondomar
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
05.01.25	Gondomar - Castêlo da Maia	0:3 ✺
21.12.24	Benfica - Gondomar	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Gondomar - Mamede	1:3 ✺
07.12.24	Gondomar - Viana	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	SC Espinho - Gondomar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
26.10.24	Gondomar - Fonte do Bastardo	3:2
14.10.23	Gondomar - Fonte do Bastardo	0:3
29.10.22	Gondomar - Fonte do Bastardo	0:3
26.09.20	Gondomar - Fonte do Bastardo	0:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ALA Gondomar
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
31.10.26	Viana - Gondomar	✺

Fonte do Bastardo - Gondomar