Match Info

Campeonato Nacional - Losers stage - Round 5

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Fonte do Bastardo		Viana

	1	2
	1.3	3.1
	1.65	2.05	Watch
	1.64	2.15	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.67	2.02	Watch
	1.65	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.34)	2.4 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fonte do Bastardo
60.8%

Viana
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fonte do Bastardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fonte do Bastardo's form might have worsened.

Viana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Viana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fonte do Bastardo than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fonte do Bastardo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viana than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Viana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fonte do Bastardo - Viana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fonte do Bastardo won 2.

Recent matches Fonte do Bastardo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Viana is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fonte do Bastardo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Fonte do Bastardo won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 47:26 (average 2.4:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Fonte do Bastardo won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21:11 (average 2.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fonte do Bastardo Azores
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
05.04.25	Madalena - Fonte do Bastardo	2:3 ✺
29.03.25	Fonte do Bastardo - Mamede	3:1 ✺
22.03.25	Viana - Fonte do Bastardo	3:0 ✺
15.03.25	Fonte do Bastardo - Madalena	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Fonte do Bastardo - Leixões	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWL
- VC Viana
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
05.04.25	Viana - Mamede	1:3 ✺
29.03.25	Madalena - Viana	3:2 ✺
22.03.25	Viana - Fonte do Bastardo	3:0 ✺
15.03.25	Mamede - Viana	3:1 ✺
01.03.25	Viana - Gondomar	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
22.03.25	Viana - Fonte do Bastardo	3:0
04.01.25	Viana - Fonte do Bastardo	3:0
19.10.24	Fonte do Bastardo - Viana	2:3
19.04.24	Fonte do Bastardo - Viana	3:0
13.04.24	Viana - Fonte do Bastardo	1:3
09.03.24	Viana - Fonte do Bastardo	1:3
03.02.24	Fonte do Bastardo - Viana	3:1

Fonte do Bastardo - Viana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide