Match Info

Campeonato Nacional - Losers stage - Round 4

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Madalena		Fonte do Bastardo

	1	2
	2.35	1.5
	2.35	1.48
			Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.4	1.48
	2.35	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.3)	1.49 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 180.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madalena
38.4%

Fonte do Bastardo
61.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Fonte do Bastardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madalena than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fonte do Bastardo than the current prediction. (+1%)

Madalena - Fonte do Bastardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Madalena is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fonte do Bastardo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fonte do Bastardo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Madalena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:7 (average 1.3:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Madalena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Madalena
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
29.03.25	Madalena - Viana	3:2 ✺
22.03.25	Madalena - Mamede	2:3 ✺
15.03.25	Fonte do Bastardo - Madalena	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Madalena - Sporting Lisbon	0:3 ✺
22.02.25	Académica de Espinho - Madalena	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLL
- Fonte do Bastardo Azores
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
29.03.25	Fonte do Bastardo - Mamede	3:1 ✺
22.03.25	Viana - Fonte do Bastardo	3:0 ✺
15.03.25	Fonte do Bastardo - Madalena	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Fonte do Bastardo - Leixões	1:3 ✺
22.02.25	Sporting Lisbon - Fonte do Bastardo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
15.03.25	Fonte do Bastardo - Madalena	3:0
08.02.25	Madalena - Fonte do Bastardo	3:1
16.11.24	Fonte do Bastardo - Madalena	3:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Madalena
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
31.10.26	Castêlo da Maia - Madalena	✺

Madalena - Fonte do Bastardo