Match Info

Campeonato Nacional - Placement Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday


	Gondomar		Académica de Espinho

	1	2
	1.72	1.9	Watch
	1.54	2.51
	1.52	2.33	Watch
	1.55	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.83)	2.24 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 183.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gondomar
58.6%

Académica de Espinho
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gondomar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gondomar's performance.

Académica de Espinho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Académica de Espinho might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gondomar than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gondomar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica de Espinho than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Académica de Espinho could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Gondomar - Académica de Espinho Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gondomar will win (votes: 4 - 80%). AA Espinho will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gondomar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Gondomar leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gondomar won 1.

Gondomar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

AA Espinho is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Gondomar has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gondomar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:28. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gondomar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 2:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ALA Gondomar
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
11.04.26	Académica de Espinho - Gondomar	1:3 ✺
28.03.26	Gondomar - Sporting Lisbon	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Sporting Lisbon - Gondomar	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Gondomar	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	Leixões - Gondomar	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLLWL
- Académica de Espinho
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
11.04.26	Académica de Espinho - Gondomar	1:3 ✺
31.03.26	Académica de Espinho - Vitoria Guimarães	1:3 ✺
28.03.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Académica de Espinho	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Académica de Espinho - Vitoria Guimarães	2:3 ✺
Portuguese Cup Volleyball
14.03.26	Sporting Lisbon - Académica de Espinho	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
11.04.26	Académica de Espinho - Gondomar	1:3
21.02.26	Gondomar - Académica de Espinho	2:3
Portuguese Cup Volleyball
27.01.26	Académica de Espinho - Gondomar	3:0
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
01.12.25	Académica de Espinho - Gondomar	3:2
25.01.25	Académica de Espinho - Gondomar	3:0
03.11.24	Gondomar - Académica de Espinho	3:2
04.11.23	Académica de Espinho - Gondomar	3:1

Gondomar - Académica de Espinho: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide