Match Info

Nations League - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Beilun Gymnasium (Ningbo)


	Japan		Slovenia

	1	2
	1.33	3.25
	1.32	2.9
	1.33	3.36
	1.32	3.23	Watch
	1.3	3.25
	1.36	3.36	Watch
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.46)	3.19 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 183.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan
70.5%

Slovenia
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Japan's performance.

Slovenia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Slovenia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Japan than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Japan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovenia than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slovenia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Japan - Slovenia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Japan will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Slovenia will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Japan: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups


21. Eiro M.	8. Bracko R.
23. Evbade-Dan L. I.	4. Kozamernik J.
3. Fukatsu H.	22. Krzic J.
14. Ishikawa Y. (C)	23. Krzic J.
15. Kai M.	7. Marovt L.
4. Miyaura K.	19. Mozic R.
1. Nishida Y.	20. Mujanovic N.
17. Nishimoto K.	24. Najdic N.
13. Ogawa T.	12. Okroglic G.
5. Otsuka T.	2. Pajenk A.
12. Takahashi R.	3. Planinsic U.
11. Tomita S.	25. Sen K.
20. Yamamoto T.	10. Stalekar S.
6. Yamauchi A.	17. Urnaut T. (C)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Japan won 5.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Japan is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Japan won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:14. (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan volleyball
Nations League Volleyball Women
01.08.26	Japan - USA	2:3 ✺
Nations League Volleyball
29.07.26	Japan - China	3:1 ✺
19.07.26	Japan - Argentina	3:0 ✺
17.07.26	Japan - Belgium	3:0 ✺
16.07.26	Japan - Canada	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWWW
- Slovenia volleyball
Nations League Volleyball Women
01.08.26	Slovenia - Poland	0:3 ✺
Nations League Volleyball
29.07.26	Slovenia - Turkey	3:0 ✺
Nations League Volleyball Women
19.07.26	Serbia - Slovenia	0:3 ✺
18.07.26	Turkey - Slovenia	1:3 ✺
17.07.26	Iran - Slovenia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Nations League Volleyball
14.06.26	Slovenia - Japan	1:3
29.06.25	Slovenia - Japan	0:3
29.06.24	Slovenia - Japan	0:3
08.06.24	Japan - Slovenia	3:1
Olympic Games - Volleyball
07.10.23	Japan - Slovenia	3:0
Nations League Volleyball
20.07.23	Japan - Slovenia	3:0
26.06.22	Japan - Slovenia	3:1

Japan - Slovenia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide