Match Info

Nations League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Beilun Gymnasium (Ningbo)


	Japan		USA

	1	2
	2.63	1.44
	2.20	1.57
	2.18	1.70
	2.36	1.56	Watch
	2.13	1.66
	2.40	1.63	Watch
	2.29	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.17)	1.59 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 185.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan
40.8%

USA
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

USA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Japan than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Japan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USA than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for USA, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Japan - USA Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Japan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Japan will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups


21. Eiro M.	1. Anderson M.
23. Evbade-Dan L. I.	13. Averill T.
3. Fukatsu H.	3. Briggs M.
14. Ishikawa Y. (C)	20. Champlin E.
15. Kai M.	11. Christenson M. (C)
4. Miyaura K.	8. Defalco T.
1. Nishida Y.	17. Hanes J.
17. Nishimoto K.	18. Hartke C.
13. Ogawa T.	4. Jendryk II J.
5. Otsuka T.	26. Knigge M.
12. Takahashi R.	14. Ma'a M.
11. Tomita S.	24. McHenry M.
20. Yamamoto T.	6. Robinson C.
6. Yamauchi A.	22. Shoji E.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Japan won 3.

Japan is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, USA has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

USA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Japan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 1.4:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan volleyball
Nations League Volleyball
29.07.26	Japan - China	3:1 ✺
19.07.26	Japan - Argentina	3:0 ✺
17.07.26	Japan - Belgium	3:0 ✺
16.07.26	Japan - Canada	3:2 ✺
Nations League Volleyball Women
15.07.26	Japan - Italy	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW
- USA volleyball
Nations League Volleyball Women
30.07.26	Italy - USA	0:3 ✺
19.07.26	USA - Poland	0:3 ✺
18.07.26	USA - Bulgaria	1:3 ✺
Nations League Volleyball
16.07.26	USA - Brazil	3:0 ✺
15.07.26	USA - China	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Nations League Volleyball
27.06.26	USA - Japan	2:3
20.07.25	USA - Japan	0:3
Olympic Games - Volleyball
02.08.24	Japan - USA	1:3
Nations League Volleyball
23.06.24	Japan - USA	3:0
Olympic Games - Volleyball
08.10.23	Japan - USA	2:3
Nations League Volleyball
10.06.22	Japan - USA	2:3
23.06.21	USA - Japan	3:0

Japan - USA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide