Match Info

Nations League Women

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Osaka Municipal Central Gymnasium (Osaka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 4


	Japan W		Turkey W

	1	2
	2.38	1.53
	2.28	1.54
	2.50	1.54
	2.39	1.55	Watch
	2.48	1.53
	2.36	1.53	Watch
	2.39	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.56)	1.54 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan W
39%

Turkey W
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Turkey W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Japan W than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turkey W than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Japan W - Turkey W Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Japan will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Turkey will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Japan: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups


26. Akimoto M.	22. Aydin I.
12. Fukudome S.	7. Baladin H.
4. Ishikawa M.	91. Basyolcu D.
9. Iwasawa M.	20. Erkek Y.
22. Kitamado A.	18. Gunes Z.
8. Kojima M.	8. Jack S.
7. Sakae E.	1. Orge G.
5. Sato Y.	3. Ozbay C.
6. Seki N.	16. Ozden B.
16. Shigihara H.	12. Sahin E.
3. Shimamura H.	6. Sahin S.
1. Wada Y.	15. Uyanik D.
11. Yamada N.	4. Vargas M.
13. Yamaguchi M.	10. Yatgin E.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Japan won 3.

Recent performances by Japan have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Turkey is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Turkey may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Turkey might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Japan won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:32. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan W volleyball
Nations League Volleyball Women
09.07.26	Japan W - Thailand W	3:1 ✺
08.07.26	Japan W - Brazil W	1:3 ✺
21.06.26	Japan W - Italy W	0:3 ✺
20.06.26	Japan W - Dominican Republic W	1:3 ✺
19.06.26	Japan W - Czech Republic W	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLLLW
- Turkey W volleyball
Nations League Volleyball Women
10.07.26	USA W - Turkey W	3:2 ✺
07.07.26	Turkey W - Poland W	3:1 ✺
21.06.26	Turkey W - China W	3:2 ✺
20.06.26	Turkey W - Germany W	3:2 ✺
18.06.26	Turkey W - France W	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Volleyball Women
06.09.25	Japan W - Turkey W	1:3
Nations League Volleyball Women
24.07.25	Japan W - Turkey W	3:2
15.05.24	Japan W - Turkey W	3:2
Olympic Games - Volleyball Women
23.09.23	Japan W - Turkey W	1:3
Nations League Volleyball Women
28.06.23	Japan W - Turkey W	3:2
01.07.22	Turkey W - Japan W	3:1
25.06.21	Japan W - Turkey W	0:3

Japan W - Turkey W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide