Match Info

SuperLega - Play Offs - Final

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Palasport Eurosuole Forum (Civitanova Marche)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 3


	Lube Civitanova		Perugia

	1	2
	2.1	1.67
	2.4	1.53
	2.25	1.52
	2.47	1.56
	2.4	1.55	Watch
	2.23	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.19)	1.57 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 186.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lube Civitanova
40.5%

Perugia
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lube Civitanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lube Civitanova than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lube Civitanova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Perugia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Lube Civitanova - Perugia Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Lube Civitanova will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Perugia will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Perugia leads series 1-0. Second leg.

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ SuperLega (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ SuperLega (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lube Civitanova won 1.

Lube Civitanova has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Perugia is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Perugia has had a series of home games.

Perugia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Perugia will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lube Civitanova won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 35:45. (average 1.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lube Civitanova won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 2.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lube Civitanova
Italian SuperLega Volleyball
30.04.26	Perugia - Lube Civitanova	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Lube Civitanova - Verona	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Verona - Lube Civitanova	2:3 ✺
08.04.26	Lube Civitanova - Verona	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Verona - Lube Civitanova	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWWWL
- VC Perugia
Italian SuperLega Volleyball
30.04.26	Perugia - Lube Civitanova	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Perugia - Pallavolo Piacenza	3:0 ✺
09.04.26	Pallavolo Piacenza - Perugia	1:3 ✺
06.04.26	Perugia - Pallavolo Piacenza	3:1 ✺
CEV Champions League
01.04.26	Perugia - Guaguas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian SuperLega Volleyball
30.04.26	Perugia - Lube Civitanova	3:0
18.01.26	Lube Civitanova - Perugia	1:3
Italian Coppa A1 Volleyball
30.12.25	Perugia - Lube Civitanova	3:1
Italian SuperLega Volleyball
26.10.25	Perugia - Lube Civitanova	3:2
24.04.25	Perugia - Lube Civitanova	1:3
20.04.25	Lube Civitanova - Perugia	3:0
16.04.25	Perugia - Lube Civitanova	2:3

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