Match Info

PlusLiga - Round 13

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Hala Sportowa Częstochowa (Częstochowa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 2


	Norwid Częstochowa		Trefl Gdańsk

	1	2
	2.25	1.57
	2.05	1.72
	2.1	1.62
	2.08	1.7	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.05	1.68
	2.16	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.37)	1.65 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 185.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norwid Częstochowa
43.9%

Trefl Gdańsk
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norwid Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Norwid Częstochowa's performance.

Trefl Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trefl Gdańsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwid Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefl Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Norwid Częstochowa - Trefl Gdańsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gdańsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Norwid Częstochowa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Norwid Częstochowa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norwid Częstochowa
Polish PlusLiga
17.12.25	Norwid Częstochowa - ZAKSA Kędzierzyn-Koźle	3:1 ✺
13.12.25	ASSECO Resovia Rzeszów - Norwid Częstochowa	3:1 ✺
CEV Challenge Cup
10.12.25	Maribor - Norwid Częstochowa	1:3 ✺
Polish PlusLiga
06.12.25	Norwid Częstochowa - Projekt Warszawa	0:3 ✺
01.12.25	Jastrzębski Węgiel - Norwid Częstochowa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLL
- Trefl Gdańsk
Polish PlusLiga
16.12.25	Jastrzębski Węgiel - Trefl Gdańsk	3:1 ✺
11.12.25	Trefl Gdańsk - Skra Bełchatów	3:0 ✺
05.12.25	Chełm - Trefl Gdańsk	0:3 ✺
03.12.25	Politechnika Lublin - Trefl Gdańsk	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Trefl Gdańsk - Warta Zawiercie	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish PlusLiga
17.03.25	Trefl Gdańsk - Norwid Częstochowa	0:3
02.12.24	Norwid Częstochowa - Trefl Gdańsk	2:3
04.04.24	Trefl Gdańsk - Norwid Częstochowa	3:0
03.01.24	Norwid Częstochowa - Trefl Gdańsk	3:1

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