Match Info

POLAND: PlusLiga - Round 4

Date: 16 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Hala Nysa (Nysa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 1


	Stal Nysa		Norwid Częstochowa

	1	2
	1.53	2.38
	1.53	2.4
	1.55	2.4
	1.56	2.41	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.53	2.44	Watch
	1.55	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (2.1)	2.4 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 183.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Nysa
60.9%

Norwid Częstochowa
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Nysa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stal Nysa's performance.

Norwid Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Norwid Częstochowa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Nysa than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stal Nysa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwid Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Norwid Częstochowa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Stal Nysa - Norwid Częstochowa Predictions

Users Predictions: Norwid Częstochowa will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups


14. Abramowicz J.	31. Adamczyk S.
19. Dulski D.	3. Borkowski M.
1. El Graoui Z.	11. Ebadipour M.
9. Gierzot M.	23. Indra P.
6. Jankowski K.	5. Isaacson Q.
10. Kapica R.	10. Kogut D.
66. Kosiba K.	17. Kowalski T.
8. Kramczynski D.	1. Lipinski B.
2. Motta Paes K.	13. Maslowski M.
18. Olejniczak J.	6. Popiela D.
91. Szczurek P.	7. Radziwon D.
20. Szymura K.	4. Schmidt B.
90. Wlodarczyk W.	8. Slugocki A.
12. Zerba N.

Preview

Stal Nysa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Norwid Częstochowa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Norwid Częstochowa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Stal Nysa have a series of guest games.

Stal Nysa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stal Nysa won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:6 (average 2.6:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Stal Nysa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 2.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Nysa
Polish PlusLiga
13.10.24	Stal Nysa - Cuprum Gorzów	2:3 ✺
06.10.24	AZS Olsztyn - Stal Nysa	3:0 ✺
26.09.24	Projekt Warszawa - Stal Nysa	3:1 ✺
23.09.24	GKS Katowice - Stal Nysa	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly Volleyball
11.09.24	ZAKSA Kędzierzyn-Koźle - Stal Nysa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- Norwid Częstochowa
Polish PlusLiga
13.10.24	Warta Zawiercie - Norwid Częstochowa	3:0 ✺
08.10.24	ZAKSA Kędzierzyn-Koźle - Norwid Częstochowa	2:3 ✺
05.10.24	Norwid Częstochowa - Jastrzębski Węgiel	3:2 ✺
29.09.24	Norwid Częstochowa - Będzin	3:0 ✺
17.09.24	Norwid Częstochowa - Ślepsk Suwałki	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish PlusLiga
02.02.24	Stal Nysa - Norwid Częstochowa	3:2
12.11.23	Norwid Częstochowa - Stal Nysa	0:3
Polish I Liga Volleyball
18.01.20	Stal Nysa - Norwid Częstochowa	3:0
Polish Cup Volleyball
13.11.19	Stal Nysa - Norwid Częstochowa	1:3
Polish I Liga Volleyball
10.10.19	Norwid Częstochowa - Stal Nysa	1:3

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