Match Info

PlusLiga - Round 17

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Ergo Arena (Gdansk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 2


	Trefl Gdańsk		AZS Olsztyn

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.7	1.95
	1.74	2.03	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.72	1.99
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.67)	1.94 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 186.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trefl Gdańsk
52.4%

AZS Olsztyn
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trefl Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

AZS Olsztyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefl Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trefl Gdańsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZS Olsztyn than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AZS Olsztyn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Trefl Gdańsk - AZS Olsztyn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gdańsk won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Gdańsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gdańsk won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 38:33. (average 1.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Gdańsk won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.9:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trefl Gdańsk
Polish PlusLiga
09.01.26	Trefl Gdańsk - Ślepsk Suwałki	3:2 ✺
02.01.26	Trefl Gdańsk - ASSECO Resovia Rzeszów	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Norwid Częstochowa - Trefl Gdańsk	0:3 ✺
16.12.25	Jastrzębski Węgiel - Trefl Gdańsk	3:1 ✺
11.12.25	Trefl Gdańsk - Skra Bełchatów	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLW
- AZS Olsztyn
Polish Cup Volleyball
10.01.26	Politechnika Lublin - AZS Olsztyn	3:2 ✺
Polish PlusLiga
06.01.26	AZS Olsztyn - Kazhany Lviv	3:2 ✺
Polish Cup Volleyball
29.12.25	BBTS Bielsko-Biała - AZS Olsztyn	0:3 ✺
Polish PlusLiga
23.12.25	Chełm - AZS Olsztyn	2:3 ✺
20.12.25	AZS Olsztyn - ASSECO Resovia Rzeszów	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish PlusLiga
06.11.25	AZS Olsztyn - Trefl Gdańsk	3:1
23.03.25	Trefl Gdańsk - AZS Olsztyn	0:3
08.12.24	AZS Olsztyn - Trefl Gdańsk	3:0
30.03.24	AZS Olsztyn - Trefl Gdańsk	1:3
23.12.23	Trefl Gdańsk - AZS Olsztyn	3:0
24.02.23	Trefl Gdańsk - AZS Olsztyn	3:0
07.11.22	AZS Olsztyn - Trefl Gdańsk	0:3

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