Match Info

PlusLiga - Round 19

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Ergo Arena (Gdansk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 2


	Trefl Gdańsk		Projekt Warszawa

	1	2
	2.5	1.5
	2.25	1.52	Watch
	2.31	1.62
	2.33	1.56	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.32	1.55
	2.45	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.43)	1.54 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 185.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trefl Gdańsk
39.4%

Projekt Warszawa
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trefl Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Projekt Warszawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefl Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Projekt Warszawa than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Trefl Gdańsk - Projekt Warszawa Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Projekt Warszawa will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gdańsk won 0.

Gdańsk is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Projekt Warszawa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gdańsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Projekt Warszawa has had a series of home games.

Projekt Warszawa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gdańsk won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 26:47. (average 1.3:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Gdańsk won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 1.8:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Projekt Warszawa - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 62.07%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trefl Gdańsk
Polish PlusLiga
22.01.26	Cuprum Gorzów - Trefl Gdańsk	2:3 ✺
18.01.26	Trefl Gdańsk - AZS Olsztyn	2:3 ✺
09.01.26	Trefl Gdańsk - Ślepsk Suwałki	3:2 ✺
02.01.26	Trefl Gdańsk - ASSECO Resovia Rzeszów	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Norwid Częstochowa - Trefl Gdańsk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWW
- Projekt Warszawa
CEV Champions League
28.01.26	Projekt Warszawa - Montpellier	3:0 ✺
Polish PlusLiga
24.01.26	Projekt Warszawa - Kazhany Lviv	2:3 ✺
CEV Champions League
21.01.26	Projekt Warszawa - Lube Civitanova	0:3 ✺
Polish PlusLiga
18.01.26	ASSECO Resovia Rzeszów - Projekt Warszawa	3:0 ✺
14.01.26	Projekt Warszawa - Jastrzębski Węgiel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish PlusLiga
16.11.25	Projekt Warszawa - Trefl Gdańsk	3:0
08.03.25	Projekt Warszawa - Trefl Gdańsk	3:0
25.11.24	Trefl Gdańsk - Projekt Warszawa	1:3
18.02.24	Projekt Warszawa - Trefl Gdańsk	3:0
18.11.23	Trefl Gdańsk - Projekt Warszawa	0:3
28.04.23	Projekt Warszawa - Trefl Gdańsk	2:3
24.04.23	Trefl Gdańsk - Projekt Warszawa	1:3

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