Match Info

Nations League

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Now Arena (Hoffman Estates, IL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Turkey	S Sport


	USA		Brazil

	1	2
	1.33	3.25
	1.35	2.8	Watch
	1.41	2.97
	1.36	3.05	Watch
	1.39	2.94
	1.37	3.3	Watch
	1.38	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.53)	3.03 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 183.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USA
68.9%

Brazil
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in USA's performance.

Brazil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brazil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USA than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with USA that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brazil than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brazil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

USA - Brazil Predictions

Users Predictions: USA will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups


1. Anderson M.	6. Adriano
13. Averill T.	19. Arthur
3. Briggs M.	13. Barreto L.
20. Champlin E.	17. Bryan
11. Christenson M.	14. Cachopa
8. Defalco T.	1. Darlan Souza
17. Hanes J.	23. Flavio
18. Hartke C.	8. Honorato
4. Jendryk II J.	11. Judson
26. Knigge M.	18. Lucarelli
14. Ma'a M.	15. Maique
24. McHenry M.	5. Matheus Goncalves
6. Robinson C.	7. Pinta
22. Shoji E.	16. Pureza

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USA won 4.

USA is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Brazil has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

USA could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, USA won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 31:49. (average 1.6:2.5).

Outrights of Nations League Volleyball for now

USA: 7.84%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA volleyball
Nations League Volleyball
15.07.26	USA - China	3:0 ✺
Nations League Volleyball Women
28.06.26	Serbia - USA	1:3 ✺
Nations League Volleyball
27.06.26	USA - Japan	2:3 ✺
25.06.26	Iran - USA	0:3 ✺
24.06.26	Cuba - USA	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWW
- Brazil volleyball
Nations League Volleyball Women
15.07.26	France - Brazil	0:3 ✺
Nations League Volleyball
28.06.26	Canada - Brazil	2:3 ✺
27.06.26	Slovenia - Brazil	3:0 ✺
26.06.26	Brazil - Italy	1:3 ✺
24.06.26	Ukraine - Brazil	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Olympic Games - Volleyball
05.08.24	USA - Brazil	3:1
Nations League Volleyball
20.06.24	Brazil - USA	2:3
11.06.23	USA - Brazil	1:3
20.07.22	USA - Brazil	3:1
11.06.22	USA - Brazil	3:1
Olympic Games - Volleyball
29.07.21	Brazil - USA	3:1
Nations League Volleyball
29.05.21	USA - Brazil	0:3

USA - Brazil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide