Match Info
Nations LeagueDate: 27 June 2026, SaturdayLocation: CO'met (Orleans)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Brazil | SporTV 2 |
Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
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USA |
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Japan |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 184.50
- The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for USA than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for USA, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Japan than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Japan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.USA - Japan Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Japan will win (votes: 5 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0 
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Lineups
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1. Anderson M.
| 21. Eiro M.
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13. Averill T.
| 23. Evbade-Dan L. I.
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20. Champlin E.
| 3. Fukatsu H.
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11. Christenson M. (C)
| 14. Ishikawa Y. (C)
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10. Dagostino K.
| 15. Kai M.
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8. Defalco T.
| 4. Miyaura K.
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29. Ewert J.
| 17. Nishimoto K.
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9. Garcia G.
| 13. Ogawa T.
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17. Hanes J.
| 2. Onodera T.
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18. Hartke C.
| 5. Otsuka T.
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4. Jendryk II J.
| 12. Takahashi R.
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14. Ma'a M.
| 11. Tomita S.
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24. McHenry M.
| 20. Yamamoto T.
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22. Shoji E.
| 6. Yamauchi A.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USA won 3.USA is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Japan is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).USA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. USA could have a small edge in this match.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, USA won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:14. (average 2.5:1.3).
Outrights of Nations League Volleyball for now
USA: 7.84% Japan: 7.18%
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;